Udinese 0-2 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 38% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.05
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
11%
7.52
X/2
23%
4.4
X/X
13%
3.86
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.82
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.10/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.35
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.9 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Juventus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
306 Passes 454
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
20.08.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-3 HT 0-3 Juventus Juventus İTA
04.06.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
07.01.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
15.01.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
22.08.2021 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 0-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
0-2
AWAY Juventus
0.60 xG 1.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
264 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus saw off Udinese 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Udinese had 38% of the ball to Juventus's 62%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Udinese and 1.50 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Juventus?

Udinese 0-2 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Udinese 30%, draw 24%, Juventus 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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