Bologna vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Lecce — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
2-3
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
2-0
HT 2-0
Lecce
İTA
3-2
HT 2-1
Lecce
İTA
2-3
HT 0-1
Bologna
İTA
Bologna 1-0 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna edged past Lecce 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bologna had 72% of the ball to Lecce's 28%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bologna and 1.17 for Lecce.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Lecce?
Bologna 1-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Lecce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bologna 48%, draw 26%, Lecce 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.