FC Bari 1908 2-2 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
19%
4.0
X/2
8%
8.41
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
7.12
2/X
8%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.24/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.29
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.7 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Reggiana
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.81 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
337 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-2 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
07.10.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
22.07.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
2-2
AWAY Reggiana
1.51 xG 1.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
393 Passes 288
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Reggiana shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bari 1908 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 57% of the ball to Reggiana's 43%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.51 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.33 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Reggiana?

FC Bari 1908 2-2 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 43%, draw 31%, Reggiana 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
2 Nov 2024
17:00 Spezia vs Modena Analysis →
17:00 Carrarese vs Juve Stabia Analysis →