Spezia 1-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Nov 2024

Spezia
1-0 HT 1-0
Modena
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Spezia vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.69
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
12%
3.51
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
12%
5.21
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spezia v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.48/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.34
-3% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.6 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Spezia vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Modena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
26.12.2023 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
12.03.2016 Spezia Spezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
27.10.2015 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
21.02.2015 Spezia Spezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
27.09.2014 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB

Spezia 1-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
1-0
AWAY Modena
1.12 xG 0.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spezia vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spezia nicked a narrow win over Modena 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Spezia had 53% of the ball to Modena's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spezia and 1.00 for Modena.

What was the final score of Spezia vs Modena?

Spezia 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spezia vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spezia 42%, draw 28%, Modena 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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