Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-1 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 55%
-11% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -13%
1.14/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.13
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 4-1 HT 3-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
27.02.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.09.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln edged past Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 1.17 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Fortuna Köln?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-1 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 27%, draw 28%, Fortuna Köln 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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