Fortuna Köln 4-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.80/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.40
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
27.02.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.09.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
04.05.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Köln
4-1
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln cruised past Fortuna Düsseldorf II 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fortuna Köln had 39% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf II's 61%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.00 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Fortuna Köln 4-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 50%, draw 24%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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