Gütersloh 2-0 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.69/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.21
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gütersloh
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-2 HT 1-1 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Gütersloh Gütersloh 1-3 HT 1-2 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Gütersloh vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gütersloh got the better of Düren Merzenich 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gütersloh found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Düren Merzenich led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gütersloh and 2.50 for Düren Merzenich.

What was the final score of Gütersloh vs Düren Merzenich?

Gütersloh 2-0 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gütersloh vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated an Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gütersloh 34%, draw 31%, Düren Merzenich 35%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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