Düren Merzenich 2-2 Gütersloh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.3pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.65/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.01
+46% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gütersloh
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.10.2023 Gütersloh Gütersloh 1-3 HT 1-2 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Düren Merzenich
2-2
AWAY Gütersloh
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Gütersloh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich and Gütersloh couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Düren Merzenich at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Düren Merzenich had 51% of the ball to Gütersloh's 49%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Gütersloh?

Düren Merzenich 2-2 Gütersloh in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Gütersloh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 48%, draw 18%, Gütersloh 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Düren Merzenich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✓ Over 2.5
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