Union Santa Fe 2-0 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

Union Santa Fe
2-0 HT 1-0
Newells Old Boys
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.57
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
17%
3.59
X/2
13%
10.4
X/X
10%
3.84
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
6%
9.78
2/X
8%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Newells Old Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.45/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.35
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
30.4 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 285
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-3 HT 0-2 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
16.09.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
12.06.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
01.10.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
09.04.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
08.11.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Union Santa Fe 2-0 Newells Old Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
2-0
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.77 xG 0.61
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
156 Passes 394
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe got the better of Newells Old Boys 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 34% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 66%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.77 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.17 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?

Union Santa Fe 2-0 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 51%, draw 24%, Newells Old Boys 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
2 Nov 2024
01:00 Central Cordoba Santiago vs San Lorenzo Analysis →
01:45 Huracan vs Gimnasia La Plata Analysis →
04:00 Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield Analysis →
21:00 Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →