Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.41
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
14%
6.71
X/2
13%
4.47
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.05
2/X
11%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -15%
1.26/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.07
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.8 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.11 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
343 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
06.04.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
11.11.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
13.06.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
23.10.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
22.03.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1-1
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.32 xG 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
191 Passes 317
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 41% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 59%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.32 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.17 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?

Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 32%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
2 Nov 2024
01:00 Central Cordoba Santiago vs San Lorenzo Analysis →
01:45 Huracan vs Gimnasia La Plata Analysis →
03:15 Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys Analysis →
21:00 Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →