Union Santa Fe 1-3 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

Union Santa Fe
1-3 HT 0-2
Newells Old Boys
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
37%
2.7
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.81
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
16%
7.75
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.71
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
17%
5.48
X/2
10%
4.92
X/X
28%
2.95
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.05
2/X
3%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-6.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Newells Old Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.03/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.03
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.4 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.80 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
262 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
12.06.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
01.10.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
09.04.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
08.11.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
20.03.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Union Santa Fe 1-3 Newells Old Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-3
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.02 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
330 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys beat Union Santa Fe 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 37% / 28% — and on the day Newells Old Boys made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 53% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.02 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Union Santa Fe and 0.67 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?

Union Santa Fe 1-3 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 35%, draw 37%, Newells Old Boys 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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