Racing Club 4-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
6.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.97
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
10%
15.95
X/1
13%
3.97
X/2
7%
6.9
X/X
21%
3.35
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
13%
6.36
2/X
5%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.5pp
36%
Draw
30%
+5.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.45/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.05
+29% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +54%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.6 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
1W-4D-1L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.05
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
423 Passes 222
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
06.07.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 1-1 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
23.08.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-2 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
07.05.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
14.09.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
09.05.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
4-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
2.40 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
302 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club cruised past San Lorenzo 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 28% — and on the day Racing Club made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club had 51% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 49%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.40 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Club and 1.00 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs San Lorenzo?

Racing Club 4-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 36%, draw 36%, San Lorenzo 28%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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