USM Khenchela 1-0 MC Magra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.37
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Magra EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.29/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.43
-10% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
0W-3D-1L
AWAY MC Magra
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.06.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-2 HT 1-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
19.01.2024 MC Magra MC Magra 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
07.07.2023 MC Magra MC Magra 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
07.12.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
1-0
AWAY MC Magra
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs MC Magra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela squeezed past MC Magra 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 51% of the ball to MC Magra's 49%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, MC Magra led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.50 for MC Magra.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs MC Magra?

USM Khenchela 1-0 MC Magra in the Algeria - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs MC Magra?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 43%, draw 32%, MC Magra 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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