USM Khenchela 2-2 MC Magra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.52
Over 2.5
30%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
12%
5.15
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 40% vs market 36.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.2pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Magra EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.38/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.57
+6% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
0W-2D-1L
AWAY MC Magra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2024 MC Magra MC Magra 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
07.07.2023 MC Magra MC Magra 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
07.12.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs MC Magra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela and MC Magra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was USM Khenchela at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, MC Magra led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.33 for MC Magra.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs MC Magra?

USM Khenchela 2-2 MC Magra in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs MC Magra?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 48%, draw 28%, MC Magra 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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