ES Setif 2-1 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.72
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.43/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.36
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paradou
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2024 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
01.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 0-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
09.11.2022 Paradou Paradou 1-3 HT 0-1 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
28.12.2021 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
10.06.2021 Paradou Paradou 0-3 HT 0-2 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
27.12.2020 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Setif
2-1
AWAY Paradou
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif nicked a narrow win over Paradou 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Setif as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ES Setif had 56% of the ball to Paradou's 44%, shots finished 21-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Setif had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ES Setif and 0.50 for Paradou.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs Paradou?

ES Setif 2-1 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 50%, draw 28%, Paradou 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Setif) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Setif) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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