Paradou 1-0 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
46%
2.13
2-3 Goals
33%
1.75
4-5 Goals
14%
5.38
6+ Goals
7%
36.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.13 — our 46% vs market 38.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.6pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.95/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.19
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradou
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ES Setif
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 0-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
09.11.2022 Paradou Paradou 1-3 HT 0-1 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
28.12.2021 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
10.06.2021 Paradou Paradou 0-3 HT 0-2 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
27.12.2020 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
23.11.2019 Paradou Paradou 1-1 HT 0-1 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradou
1-0
AWAY ES Setif
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paradou vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradou squeezed past ES Setif 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Paradou made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Paradou had 55% of the ball to ES Setif's 45%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Setif led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paradou and 1.33 for ES Setif.

What was the final score of Paradou vs ES Setif?

Paradou 1-0 ES Setif in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paradou 38%, draw 30%, ES Setif 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradou), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paradou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
19 Jan 2024
17:30 El Bayadh vs MC Oran Analysis →
17:30 MC Magra vs USM Khenchela Analysis →
17:30 US Souf vs USM Alger Analysis →
17:45 ASO Chlef vs Belouizdad Analysis →
18:00 JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie Analysis →
18:45 CS Constantine vs ES Ben Aknoun Analysis →