El Bayadh 0-1 MC Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.07
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.64
6+ Goals
8%
39.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.2pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Oran EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.52/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.56
+2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
0W-2D-0L
AWAY MC Oran
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 MC Oran MC Oran 1-1 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
12.11.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-1 HT 1-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Bayadh
0-1
AWAY MC Oran
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs MC Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Oran edged past El Bayadh 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was El Bayadh at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, El Bayadh had 63% of the ball to MC Oran's 37%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Bayadh and 1.00 for MC Oran.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs MC Oran?

El Bayadh 0-1 MC Oran in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs MC Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 51%, draw 32%, MC Oran 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Bayadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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