CS Constantine 1-1 ES Ben Aknoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.25
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.95
No
58%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
76%
-17.6pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.8pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
30%
+12.2pp
58%
BTTS No
70%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.82/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.63
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Constantine
1-1
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Constantine vs ES Ben Aknoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Constantine and ES Ben Aknoun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CS Constantine at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Constantine had 68% of the ball to ES Ben Aknoun's 32%, shots finished 21-6.

What was the final score of CS Constantine vs ES Ben Aknoun?

CS Constantine 1-1 ES Ben Aknoun in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Constantine vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Constantine win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CS Constantine 58%, draw 25%, ES Ben Aknoun 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CS Constantine), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Constantine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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