MC Magra 1-1 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.45
Over 2.5
27%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.19
No
68%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
12%
6.15
6+ Goals
6%
46.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
38%
+11.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-6.3pp
73%
Under 2.5
65%
+8.2pp
27%
Over 2.5
35%
-8.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.2pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Magra EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+32% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Magra
1W-1D-0L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.07.2023 MC Magra MC Magra 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
07.12.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Magra
1-1
AWAY USM Khenchela
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MC Magra vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Magra and USM Khenchela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was MC Magra at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, MC Magra had 56% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 44%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, MC Magra had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MC Magra and 1.00 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of MC Magra vs USM Khenchela?

MC Magra 1-1 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Magra vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Magra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MC Magra 50%, draw 26%, USM Khenchela 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MC Magra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MC Magra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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