US Souf 1-3 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.7pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Souf EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 66%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.35/3.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.34
+72% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH US Souf vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger beat US Souf 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of US Souf vs USM Alger?

US Souf 1-3 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Souf vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated an USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split US Souf 21%, draw 22%, USM Alger 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
19 Jan 2024
17:30 El Bayadh vs MC Oran Analysis →
17:30 Paradou vs ES Setif Analysis →
17:30 MC Magra vs USM Khenchela Analysis →
17:45 ASO Chlef vs Belouizdad Analysis →
18:00 JS Saoura vs JS Kabylie Analysis →
18:45 CS Constantine vs ES Ben Aknoun Analysis →