11/06/2024
·
18:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
USM Alger vs US Souf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
2%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
84%
21%
Draw
8%
11%
Away Win
8%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
USM Alger v US Souf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
USM Alger
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
US Souf
EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
1.82/0.43
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.40/2.50
-15%
/
+31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
-35%
62%
Ball Possession
38%
18
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
466 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
229 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.4
Yellow Cards
2.5
USM Alger vs US Souf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
USM Alger
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
US Souf
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
USM Alger vs US Souf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
USM Alger ran out comfortable winners over US Souf 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of USM Alger vs US Souf?
USM Alger 3-0 US Souf in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for USM Alger vs US Souf?
Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 67%, draw 21%, US Souf 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (USM Alger)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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CZYR
More Algeria - 1st Division
11 Jun 2024