FC Helsingor 1-1 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.23/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.03
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Helsingor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Middelfart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
12.10.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN2
14.06.2020 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-2 HT 0-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Helsingor
1-1
AWAY Middelfart
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Helsingor vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Helsingor and Middelfart shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Helsingor had 66% of the ball to Middelfart's 34%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Helsingor and 1.50 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of FC Helsingor vs Middelfart?

FC Helsingor 1-1 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Helsingor vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Helsingor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Helsingor 38%, draw 24%, Middelfart 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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