Aarhus Fremad 2-1 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-16.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.3pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
2.39/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/3.00
+11% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Nykobing
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 0-2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
24.05.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 1-4 HT 0-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
20.04.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 3-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
06.04.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
16.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2-1
AWAY Nykobing
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad edged past Nykobing 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 60% of the ball to Nykobing's 40%, shots finished 15-2.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 0.20 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing?

Aarhus Fremad 2-1 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 56%, draw 25%, Nykobing 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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