Nykobing 0-2 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
56%
Away Win
68%
-11.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 72%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.01/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.23
-9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
284 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
37% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 1-4 HT 0-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
20.04.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 3-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
06.04.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
16.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
0-2
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad beat Nykobing 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nykobing had 39% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 61%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Nykobing and 3.75 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Aarhus Fremad?

Nykobing 0-2 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 21%, draw 23%, Aarhus Fremad 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →