Nykobing 1-4 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.8pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 70%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
0.00/3.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.99
-100% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 3-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
06.04.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
16.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
1-4
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad ran out comfortable winners over Nykobing 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nykobing had 35% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 65%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nykobing and 3.67 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Aarhus Fremad?

Nykobing 1-4 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 24%, draw 27%, Aarhus Fremad 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
24 May 2024
19:30 Middelfart vs Esbjerg Analysis →
20:00 Akademisk BK vs Roskilde Analysis →