Hednesford Town 4-4 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.48/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+4% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hednesford Town
4-4
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 15
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hednesford Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hednesford Town and Gainsborough Trinity shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hednesford Town had 46% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 54%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Hednesford Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Hednesford Town 4-4 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - FA Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hednesford Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hednesford Town 34%, draw 25%, Gainsborough Trinity 41%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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