Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
12%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.84/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.45
+19% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
314 Passes 278
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
07.12.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
09.11.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-2 HT 1-2 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İNTK
10.08.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNLK
20.02.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
01.12.2020 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-2
AWAY Oldham Athletic
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
0 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic nicked a narrow win over Tranmere Rovers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Oldham Athletic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 59% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 41%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.00 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic?

Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Oldham Athletic in the England - FA Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 38%, draw 24%, Oldham Athletic 38%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
2 Nov 2024
18:00 Swindon Town vs Colchester Analysis →
18:00 Rushall Olympic vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Maidstone United Analysis →
18:00 Hednesford Town vs Gainsborough Trinity Analysis →
18:00 Brackley Town vs Braintree Town Analysis →
18:00 Bradford City vs Aldershot Town Analysis →