Swindon Town vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swindon Town v Colchester — Team-Based Signals
Swindon Town vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Swindon Town
İN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Colchester
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-2
HT 1-2
Colchester
İNTK
Swindon Town 2-1 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics
Swindon Town nicked a narrow win over Colchester 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Swindon Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Swindon Town had 54% of the ball to Colchester's 46%, shots finished 19-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swindon Town and 1.50 for Colchester.
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Colchester?
Swindon Town 2-1 Colchester in the England - FA Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Colchester?
Before kick-off our model rated an Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 37%, draw 25%, Colchester 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colchester) went the other way.