Brest 0-1 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Nov 2024

Brest
0-1 HT 0-1
Nice
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Brest vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 33% vs market 32.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.39
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.83
X/2
13%
5.05
X/X
14%
3.88
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.59
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.24/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.38
-13% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
23.2 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Brest vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nice
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 Passes 419
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
01.10.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
16.04.2023 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
06.11.2022 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
09.01.2022 Brest Brest 0-3 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
02.10.2021 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 0-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
0-1
AWAY Nice
1.02 xG 1.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
507 Passes 267
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brest vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice squeezed past Brest 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nice found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brest had 64% of the ball to Nice's 36%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.02 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Brest and 1.00 for Nice.

What was the final score of Brest vs Nice?

Brest 0-1 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brest 33%, draw 29%, Nice 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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