Brest 0-0 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 4 Feb 2024

Brest
0-0 HT 0-0
Nice
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Brest vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
6.73
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.25
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.75
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
10%
5.23
X/X
14%
3.18
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
13%
4.27
2/X
6%
14.75
Value flag · 1/X at 14.75 — our 12% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.7pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.37/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.48
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.9 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brest vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
331 Passes 453
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
16.04.2023 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
06.11.2022 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
09.01.2022 Brest Brest 0-3 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
02.10.2021 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
09.05.2021 Nice Nice 3-2 HT 1-2 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 0-0 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
0-0
AWAY Nice
1.06 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
398 Passes 349
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brest vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest and Nice fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brest had 53% of the ball to Nice's 47%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.06 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brest and 1.50 for Nice.

What was the final score of Brest vs Nice?

Brest 0-0 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brest 38%, draw 33%, Nice 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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