Metz vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metz v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Metz vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Metz
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Metz
FR1
4-1
HT 3-0
Lorient
FR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Metz
FR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Lorient
FR2
Metz 1-2 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Lorient squeezed past Metz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Metz at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Metz had 43% of the ball to Lorient's 57%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.09 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Metz and 1.33 for Lorient.
What was the final score of Metz vs Lorient?
Metz 1-2 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metz vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Metz 42%, draw 29%, Lorient 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.