Reims vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Reims v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
Reims vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Reims
FR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Toulouse
FR1
3-1
HT 2-0
Reims
FRK
1-0
HT 1-0
Reims
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Reims
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Reims
FR1
Reims 2-3 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse squeezed past Reims 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Reims at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Reims had 62% of the ball to Toulouse's 38%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.79 to 1.51 — on chances, Reims could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Reims and 1.00 for Toulouse.
What was the final score of Reims vs Toulouse?
Reims 2-3 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Reims vs Toulouse?
Before kick-off our model rated a Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Reims 44%, draw 27%, Toulouse 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.