Kaizer Chiefs 0-4 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - League Cup, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.48
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+39% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.90 xG 1.54
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
182 Passes 474
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 HT 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
02.05.2024 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-5 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
23.09.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 2-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAF8K
02.09.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
09.08.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
21.01.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns cruised past Kaizer Chiefs 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Mamelodi Sundowns made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 2.17 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Kaizer Chiefs 0-4 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - League Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 34%, draw 32%, Mamelodi Sundowns 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5
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