Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kaizer Chiefs v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals
Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Kaizer Chiefs
GAF8K
1-1
HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAF8K
2-1
HT 1-0
Kaizer Chiefs
GAFPSL
0-1
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAFPSL
4-0
HT 2-0
Kaizer Chiefs
GAFPSL
Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns squeezed past Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 40% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 60%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.40 to 0.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kaizer Chiefs.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 2.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.
What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 20%, draw 27%, Mamelodi Sundowns 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.