Marumo Gallants 1-0 AmaZulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.17
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.49/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.83
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.7 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
0W-4D-2L
AWAY AmaZulu
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
314 Passes 303
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
26.10.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
17.12.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-1 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
04.11.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
21.03.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 2-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
05.12.2020 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
1-0
AWAY AmaZulu
0.73 xG 1.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 8
219 Passes 365
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs AmaZulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants nicked a narrow win over AmaZulu 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Marumo Gallants made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 40% of the ball to AmaZulu's 60%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.73 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AmaZulu led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Marumo Gallants and 0.83 for AmaZulu.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs AmaZulu?

Marumo Gallants 1-0 AmaZulu in the South Afrika - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs AmaZulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marumo Gallants win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 37%, draw 33%, AmaZulu 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marumo Gallants), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marumo Gallants) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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