Cape Town City 1-0 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.69
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.25/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.31
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.7 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cape Town City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY SuperSport United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-1 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
20.02.2024 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-1 HT 1-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAF8K
18.08.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
04.02.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-0 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
03.01.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-1 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
22.12.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 3-2 HT 2-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cape Town City
1-0
AWAY SuperSport United
0.82 xG 0.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
317 Passes 329
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cape Town City vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cape Town City squeezed past SuperSport United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cape Town City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cape Town City had 49% of the ball to SuperSport United's 51%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.82 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SuperSport United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cape Town City and 1.50 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Cape Town City vs SuperSport United?

Cape Town City 1-0 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cape Town City vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cape Town City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cape Town City 41%, draw 30%, SuperSport United 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cape Town City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cape Town City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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