Malacateco 1-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.43/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.05
+24% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
18.08.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
18.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.01.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
04.09.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
29.07.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 2-0 HT 2-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
16.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-3 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
1-0
AWAY Xelaju MC
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco edged past Xelaju MC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Malacateco made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Malacateco had 44% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 56%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malacateco and 1.00 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?

Malacateco 1-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 36%, draw 33%, Xelaju MC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
2 Nov 2024
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