Xelaju MC 2-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.65/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.82
-10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Malacateco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
04.09.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
29.07.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 2-0 HT 2-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
16.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-3 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
19.02.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
09.10.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC squeezed past Malacateco 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Malacateco?

Xelaju MC 2-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 60%, draw 25%, Malacateco 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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