Achuapa 0-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.64/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.42
+18% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Antigua GFC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.09.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
30.07.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
30.03.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.02.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 6-1 HT 3-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
05.12.2022 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC got the better of Achuapa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Achuapa and 2.50 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Antigua GFC?

Achuapa 0-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 49%, draw 30%, Antigua GFC 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Achuapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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