Coban Imperial 3-1 Coatepeque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.71/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.29
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coban Imperial
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Coatepeque
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2024 Coatepeque 1-3 HT 1-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
14.09.2023 Coatepeque 3-0 HT 1-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
04.09.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-1 HT 1-0 Coatepeque GUAT
POST-MATCH Coban Imperial vs Coatepeque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial saw off Coatepeque 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coban Imperial as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Coban Imperial and 1.67 for Coatepeque.

What was the final score of Coban Imperial vs Coatepeque?

Coban Imperial 3-1 Coatepeque in the Guatemala - National League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coban Imperial vs Coatepeque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coban Imperial win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Coban Imperial 64%, draw 20%, Coatepeque 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coban Imperial), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coban Imperial) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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