Kitchee 1-1 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.2pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 31%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.72/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/1.84
+7% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lee Man
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
26.05.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 2-3 HT 0-3 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
01.01.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 2-2 HT 2-2 Kitchee Kitchee HKKK
16.09.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 4-1 HT 2-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
07.05.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 2-2 HT 1-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
29.10.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 2-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
21.11.2021 Lee Man Lee Man 2-2 HT 1-2 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
1-1
AWAY Lee Man
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee and Lee Man shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kitchee at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kitchee had 60% of the ball to Lee Man's 40%, shots finished 17-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kitchee and 2.50 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Lee Man?

Kitchee 1-1 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 45%, draw 31%, Lee Man 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitchee) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ BTTS Yes
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2 Nov 2024
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