Everton U21 4-1 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.8pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+24% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
4-1
AWAY Stoke City U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
262 Passes 246
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton U21 swept aside Stoke City U21 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Everton U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Everton U21 had 52% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 48%, shots finished 22-13.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Everton U21 4-1 Stoke City U21 in the INGPL2 on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 55%, draw 22%, Stoke City U21 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Everton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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