Middlesbrough U21 1-4 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 51%
+64% / +64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.00
+150% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 10.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
1-4
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
439 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest U21 swept aside Middlesbrough U21 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nottingham Forest U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 60% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 40%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Middlesbrough U21 1-4 Nottingham Forest U21 in the INGPL2 on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 35%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest U21 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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