Nagoya Grampus 3-3 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.65
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
13%
5.69
X/X
14%
3.74
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
12%
4.19
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.23/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.51
-10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.35 xG 1.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 516
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-0 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
09.03.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
05.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
01.04.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-3 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.09.2016 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
24.04.2016 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3-3
AWAY Albirex Niigata
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 41% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 59%, shots finished 9-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.50 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata?

Nagoya Grampus 3-3 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - League Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 39%, draw 29%, Albirex Niigata 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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