MTK Budapest 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.52/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.50
-6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
498 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
14.1 Crosses 14.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.03.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 HT 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.11.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
06.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
01.05.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
04.02.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-2 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.92 xG 0.27
75% Ball Possession 25%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
666 Passes 179
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 6
37 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest and Zalaegerszegi TE shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 75% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 25%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.92 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.33 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

MTK Budapest 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 50%, draw 22%, Zalaegerszegi TE 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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