Puskas FC 1-1 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.03/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.65
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
26.7 Crosses 21.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
315 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.03.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
11.11.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.08.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-3 HT 3-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.03.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
09.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-1
AWAY Ujpest
2.02 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
333 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC and Ujpest shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Puskas FC at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 49% of the ball to Ujpest's 51%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.02 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Puskas FC and 1.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Ujpest?

Puskas FC 1-1 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 58%, draw 23%, Ujpest 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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