Ujpest 1-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.37/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.31
+36% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
19.5 Crosses 26.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
326 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
11.11.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.08.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-3 HT 3-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.03.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
09.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MACK
30.10.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 3-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-2
AWAY Puskas FC
1.57 xG 2.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
302 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC squeezed past Ujpest 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ujpest had 52% of the ball to Puskas FC's 48%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.57 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ujpest and 2.17 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Puskas FC?

Ujpest 1-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 29%, draw 26%, Puskas FC 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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