Diosgyor 2-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.62/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.58
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 69%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.3 Crosses 21.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
348 Passes 210
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-1 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
12.08.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-4 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.01.2021 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.10.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
2-2
AWAY Paksi SE
0.90 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 286
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor and Paksi SE shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 50% of the ball to Paksi SE's 50%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.90 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Diosgyor and 2.33 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Diosgyor 2-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 40%, draw 24%, Paksi SE 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diosgyor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
28 Jul 2024
19:50 Kecskemeti TE vs MOL Fehervar Analysis →
19:50 Ujpest vs Puskas FC Analysis →