Diosgyor 2-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Mar 2024

Diosgyor
2-1 HT 1-1
Paksi SE
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Diosgyor vs Paksi SE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diosgyor v Paksi SE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.56/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.78
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
18.9 Crosses 22.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Diosgyor vs Paksi SE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.25 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
354 Passes 183
74% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-1 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
12.08.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-4 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.01.2021 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.10.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.06.2020 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-2 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC

Diosgyor 2-1 Paksi SE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
2-1
AWAY Paksi SE
1.18 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor nicked a narrow win over Paksi SE 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Diosgyor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Diosgyor had 54% of the ball to Paksi SE's 46%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.18 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Diosgyor and 2.83 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Diosgyor 2-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 39%, draw 22%, Paksi SE 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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