Ujpest 2-2 Mezokövesd-Zsory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Mar 2024

Ujpest
2-2 HT 0-0
Mezokövesd-Zsory
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Ujpest vs Mezokövesd-Zsory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 24% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ujpest v Mezokövesd-Zsory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mezokövesd-Zsory EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
2.17/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.72
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.4 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ujpest vs Mezokövesd-Zsory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mezokövesd-Zsory
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
482 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 4-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
12.08.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 0-0 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
12.03.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 HT 1-0 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
24.10.2022 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
30.07.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 1-0 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory MAC
13.05.2022 Mezokövesd-Zsory Mezokövesd-Zsory 2-3 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC

Ujpest 2-2 Mezokövesd-Zsory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-2
AWAY Mezokövesd-Zsory
2.57 xG 0.90
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
493 Passes 263
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Mezokövesd-Zsory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and Mezokövesd-Zsory couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ujpest had 63% of the ball to Mezokövesd-Zsory's 37%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.57 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ujpest and 1.50 for Mezokövesd-Zsory.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Mezokövesd-Zsory?

Ujpest 2-2 Mezokövesd-Zsory in the Hungary - NB I on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Mezokövesd-Zsory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 47%, draw 26%, Mezokövesd-Zsory 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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